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THE AI EXPLOSION—MY TOP 3 PREDICTIONS FOR 2025

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Kathy Graham was requested by econVue to join as a Contributing Author. econVue is a global consortium of economic, geopolitical experts from a wide range of specialties who discuss trending issues. econVue is also one of the top Substack thought leaders in terms of subscription numbers.

Kathy's Top 3 Predictions for 2025, which was all about The AI Explosion, was published on econVue on 1/16/2025. It turns out to be pretty timely given the news that arrived a week later about China's DeepSeek AI.

Kathy's predictions focus on:

1. Escalating Operational Costs: Training AI models will become increasingly expensive ...

2. Legal and Ethical Challenges: Intellectual property disputes, privacy concerns, and biases in AI systems will create new regulatory pressures and risks ...

3. Resource Strains: The growing reliance on AI will dramatically increase energy and water consumption, raising environmental concerns and pushing industries toward nuclear energy and sustainable solutions ...


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DERAILING THE DERAILERS

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In today’s modern corporation, 3 derailers of corporate directives lurk—Protocol Risk, Group Think Risk, and Misperception Risk—because now people are working and living in communities that are quite different from each other.

GOOD NEWS: there are easy ways to derail these derailers so that what the CEO wants to occur actually does happen.

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DESIGNING OPTIMAL FIT

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Corporate profits and growth (new markets/products, new/existing clients) happen through employing the best mixture of innovation, people, processes, and culture alignment. The heart of the puzzle is identifying, then executing, what would work best for your particular company and situation. Answering the 3 questions below will point the way to designing the optimal fit for all stakeholders—customers, community, and workforce from executives through rank and file—that actually delivers the desired profits and goals.

1. Does your company produce products/services that are exploitative innovations, i.e., are they improvements/changes to existing products/services? Example: are your company’s products/services like the Apple iPhone 14, which is an improvement on the first-generation Apple iPhone? If yes, then: ...

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TO DO OR NOT TO DO: TAKING POSITIONS IN A DIVISIVE WORLD

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These three adaptive insights combined with a review of a company’s competitive landscape can aid a Board in easing political risks, cultural risks, and reputational risks it is or may be facing in this volatile business period.

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NOT FROM HERE, NOT FROM THERE, AND HIGHLY SUCCESSFUL

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Whether “born a crime” like Trevor Noah, OR a first-generation person, OR an immigrant like Nelson Diaz, OR from a marginalized group, OR from a different culture like Tara Westover, feeling “different” from others can be transformed into even greater career success through using these techniques to make differences become competitive advantages.

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LESSENING REPUTATIONAL RISK

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An article co-authored by Kathy Graham that was featured in the Practice section of NACD's Directorship for Boardroom Intelligence magazine.

1. The risk of unmet stakeholder expectations is incinerating business value.

2. Enterprise risk professionals recognize that it is vital to understand the expectations of stakeholders, which is only possible via the reporting of knowledgeable staff who have their fingers on the pulses of those stakeholders. These critical reporting processes are vulnerable to human frailties, such as the biases of management.

3. There is a path to mitigate human capital systemic bias, ensuring more reliable enterprise intelligence for the purposes of reputation risk management. This path is built around three core actions: ...

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ADDITIONAL PUBLICATIONS


THE LAND OF LEMONS AND NUTS.
A children's book on finance, economics, and world trade. ISBN 978-0-9821161-0-4.


CAREERS IN HEDGE FUNDS.
Hedge Fund and Financial Management, Izzy Nelkin, Elsevier, ISBN 0-7506-6007-4.


ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS A THROUGH Z.
Financial Engineering News.


THE ROLE OF THE BANKER IN THE AGRARIAN UNITED STATES.
Smithsonian's Financial History magazine.


THE DEVELOPMENT OF U.S. INVESTMENT ASSOCIATIONS.
Smithsonian's Financial History magazine.




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